Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 17:30 •
Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.32)
0.22 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.6% | 42.0% | 9.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
35.5%
1 - 0
29.1%
2 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Cartagena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Madrid II | 0 | 35.5% | 7.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.1% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | FC Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 62% | 23% |
| Defense | 62% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | FC Cartagena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 38% | 53% | 46% | 50% | 21% | 36% |
| Draws | 54% | 13% | 32% | 29% | 43% | 36% |
| Loses | 8% | 33% | 21% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
Form: Atlético Madrid II: DLDWWWWLWWDWWLWWLDWDDLDWLDDW • FC Cartagena: DWWDLWDWDLWLDWLLWDLLDLWWWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | FC Cartagena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 25 | 41 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 19 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Madrid II | FC Cartagena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 61% | 46% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 25% | 32% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 7% | 11% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | FC Cartagena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | FC Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | FC Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Madrid II | FC Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Cartagena and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.97 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away4.25 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.77 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Madrid II = 0.82 (league 1.32), FC Cartagena = 0.22 (league 0.92)
| FC Cartagena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Madrid II | 0 | 35.5% | 7.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.1% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 42.0% · Away win 9.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1
