Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 17:45 •
Estadio de O Couto
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.37)
2.85 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.2% | 17.2% | 51.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.4%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Avilés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ourense CF | 0 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ourense CF | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 73% | 40% |
| Defense | 33% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ourense CF | Real Avilés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 11% | 24% | 44% | 50% | 47% |
| Draws | 25% | 56% | 41% | 22% | 13% | 18% |
| Loses | 38% | 33% | 35% | 33% | 38% | 35% |
Form: Ourense CF: DDLLLDDLDWDWWWLDL • Real Avilés: LDWLWWWDLWWDLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ourense CF | Real Avilés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 10 | 13 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ourense CF | Real Avilés | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 59% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 24% | 24% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ourense CF | Real Avilés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ourense CF | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ourense CF | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ourense CF | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ourense CF or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.27 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ourense CF
vs
Real Avilés
Expected goals
1.87
Ourense CF xG
League Avg: 1.37
Total
4.73
2.85
Real Avilés xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
23.2%
Draw
17.2%
Away
51.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
6.8%
Tip
1 - 3
6.4%
Tip
2 - 2
6.3%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ourense CF = 1.87 (league 1.37), Real Avilés = 2.85 (league 1.05)
| Real Avilés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ourense CF | 0 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.2% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 51.4%
vtt 3 , vtd1