Sun, Apr 19 2026 ā¢ 14:00 ā¢
Estadio El ToralĆn
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.37)
1.05 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.4% | 26.6% | 27.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
12.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Barakaldo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ponferradina | 0 | 8.4% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ponferradina | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 73% | 55% |
| Defense | 55% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ponferradina | Barakaldo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 17 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 47% | 35% | 41% | 63% | 13% | 38% |
| Draws | 13% | 35% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 40% | 29% | 34% | 13% | 38% | 25% |
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BarakaldoLDWDDDWDWDDLWLLDLWWWLDWDWLWWDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Ponferradina | Barakaldo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 13 | 36 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 12 | 21 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ponferradina | Barakaldo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 47% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 28% | 41% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 6% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ponferradina | Barakaldo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ponferradina | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ponferradina | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ponferradina | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away3.50 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.45 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ William Hill
š
League standings
Loading standingsā¦
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ponferradina
vs
Barakaldo
Expected goals
1.43
Ponferradina xG
League Avg: 1.37
Total
2.47
1.05
Barakaldo xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
45.4%
Draw
26.6%
Away
27.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.6%
Tip
1 - 0
12.0%
Tip
2 - 1
9.0%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
šØ Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (Ī»): Ponferradina = 1.43 (league 1.37), Barakaldo = 1.05 (league 1.05)
| Barakaldo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ponferradina | 0 | 8.4% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% Ā· Draw 26.6% Ā· Away win 27.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1