Sun, Apr 19 2026 ā¢ 16:00 ā¢
Estadio O Couto
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.44)
0.76 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.6% | 24.5% | 17.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lealtad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Ourense | 0 | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Ourense | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 40% | 70% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Ourense | Lealtad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 53% | 31% | 42% | 19% | 27% | 23% |
| Draws | 27% | 31% | 29% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Loses | 20% | 38% | 29% | 56% | 60% | 58% |
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LealtadDLDLLLDDLLWLLWLLLWDLWDWLLWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | UD Ourense | Lealtad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 14 | 33 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 13 | 18 | 31 | 20 | 27 | 47 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Ourense | Lealtad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 65% | 55% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 23% | 23% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 6% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Ourense | Lealtad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Ourense | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Ourense | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Ourense | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 74% | 26% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.17 @ William Hill
Draw7.50 @ Bet365
Away26.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.56 @ Marathonbet
No1.46 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
UD Ourense
vs
Lealtad
Expected goals
1.63
UD Ourense xG
League Avg: 1.44
Total
2.39
0.76
Lealtad xG
League Avg: 1.07
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.6%
Draw
24.5%
Away
17.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.0%
Tip
2 - 0
12.2%
Tip
1 - 1
11.3%
More chances
1.5+
67%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
šØ Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (Ī»): UD Ourense = 1.63 (league 1.44), Lealtad = 0.76 (league 1.07)
| Lealtad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Ourense | 0 | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% Ā· Draw 24.5% Ā· Away win 17.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1