Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Clayton Wood
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.85)
2.04 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.7% | 20.7% | 60.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.5%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Aston Villa U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stoke City U21 | 0 | 5.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 47% | 41% |
| Defense | 12% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Aston Villa U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 30% | 37% | 30% | 56% | 42% |
| Draws | 11% | 30% | 21% | 10% | 33% | 21% |
| Loses | 44% | 40% | 42% | 60% | 11% | 37% |
Form: Stoke City U21: DDLWWWWDDWLLLLLLLWW • Aston Villa U21: LWLWWDLLWDWDLLWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Aston Villa U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 10 | 35 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stoke City U21 | Aston Villa U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 95% | 89% | 63% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 63% | 53% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 26% | 37% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 16% | 5% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Aston Villa U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 6-1 | 0-4 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa U21
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.87 @ Betano
Draw4.25 @ Pinnacle
Away2.17 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.45 @ Betano
No2.75 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Stoke City U21
vs
Aston Villa U21
Expected goals
0.95
Stoke City U21 xG
League Avg: 1.85
Total
2.99
2.04
Aston Villa U21 xG
League Avg: 1.67
1x2 probabilities
Home
16.7%
Draw
20.7%
Away
60.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
10.5%
Tip
0 - 1
10.3%
Tip
1 - 2
9.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
68%
Chance
3.5+
48%
Chance
BTTS
80%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Stoke City U21 = 0.95 (league 1.85), Aston Villa U21 = 2.04 (league 1.67)
| Aston Villa U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stoke City U21 | 0 | 5.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 60.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1