Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 11:30 • Carlo Speroni
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.26) 2.06 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.0% 18.1% 72.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.3%
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 3
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lecco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 7.7% 15.8% 16.3% 11.1% 5.7% 2.4%
1 3.9% 8.0% 8.3% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPro PatriaLecco
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack42%17%
Defense42%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pro Patria Lecco
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins13%6%9%47%47%47%
Draws38%25%31%24%33%28%
Loses50%69%59%29%20%25%

Form: Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLLLLLLLLDWLLDDDL • Lecco: WDWWWWDDWLWWLWLLWDWDWWLDLWDDLLWD

League goals

Metric Pro Patria Lecco
HATHAT
GF total131124191736
GF avg0.80.70.81.11.11.1
GA total302656141226
GA avg1.91.61.80.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePro PatriaLecco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%81%69%56%
1.522%63%22%19%
2.53%25%13%6%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPro PatriaLecco
HATHAT
Clean sheets3368614
Failed to score88168210

Penalties

MetricPro PatriaLecco
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricPro PatriaLecco
Wins14
Draws32
Losses92

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-15-11-4
Biggest losses0-43-00-33-1
Goals For3254
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricPro PatriaLecco
Form38%63%
Att71%29%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total44.5%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lecco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away2.10 @ BetVictor

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.78 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pro Patria = 0.51 (league 1.26), Lecco = 2.06 (league 1.02)

Lecco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Patria 0 7.7% 15.8% 16.3% 11.1% 5.7% 2.4%
1 3.9% 8.0% 8.3% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2%
2 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 72.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1