Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.51) 1.51 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 26.0% 49.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 8.6% 12.9% 9.8% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.1% 12.3% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 3.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSS MonopoliCrotone
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack30%100%
Defense70%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SS Monopoli Crotone
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%43%43%57%36%46%
Draws29%21%25%7%29%18%
Loses29%36%32%36%36%36%

Form: SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWWWDLLDDLWWWLDWLLWW • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLLWWWWDLW

League goals

Metric SS Monopoli Crotone
HATHAT
GF total161329192241
GF avg1.10.91.01.41.61.5
GA total14152991827
GA avg1.01.11.00.61.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSS MonopoliCrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%64%71%61%
1.525%29%46%29%
2.57%7%25%7%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSS MonopoliCrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets46107411
Failed to score358448

Penalties

MetricSS MonopoliCrotone
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricSS MonopoliCrotone
Wins34
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-01-23-1
Goals For3334
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricSS MonopoliCrotone
Form47%53%
Att23%77%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crotone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away2.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SS Monopoli = 0.95 (league 1.51), Crotone = 1.51 (league 1.06)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Monopoli 0 8.6% 12.9% 9.8% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.1% 12.3% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 3.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 49.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1