Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.51)
1.54 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.2% | 25.7% | 50.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Crotone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SS Monopoli | 0 | 8.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SS Monopoli | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 30% | 100% |
| Defense | 70% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SS Monopoli | Crotone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 43% | 43% | 57% | 36% | 46% |
| Draws | 29% | 21% | 25% | 7% | 29% | 18% |
| Loses | 29% | 36% | 32% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
Form: SS Monopoli: DWLWWDLDLWWWDLLDDLWWWLDWLLWW • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLLWWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | SS Monopoli | Crotone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 13 | 29 | 19 | 22 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 9 | 18 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SS Monopoli | Crotone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 64% | 71% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 29% | 46% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 25% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SS Monopoli | Crotone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | SS Monopoli | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | SS Monopoli | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SS Monopoli | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 23% | 77% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Crotone
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away2.75 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
SS Monopoli
vs
Crotone
Expected goals
0.95
SS Monopoli xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.49
1.54
Crotone xG
League Avg: 1.04
1x2 probabilities
Home
23.2%
Draw
25.7%
Away
50.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
12.8%
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
Tip
0 - 2
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): SS Monopoli = 0.95 (league 1.51), Crotone = 1.54 (league 1.04)
| Crotone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SS Monopoli | 0 | 8.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.2% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 50.5%
vtt 3 , vtd1