Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 18:30 •
Stadio Angelo Massimino
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.51)
0.19 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 83.0% | 11.5% | 2.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
21.6%
1 - 0
18.1%
3 - 0
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Potenza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Catania | 0 | 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.6% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Catania | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Catania | Potenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 72% | 33% | 53% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Draws | 22% | 39% | 31% | 39% | 22% | 31% |
| Loses | 6% | 28% | 17% | 11% | 61% | 36% |
CataniaWWWLDDDWWWWDWLWWWDWDWWWLDDWWDLDWDWLL
PotenzaWDLDWLWDDLLWLWDWDDLDLWLLDDWWLLWDLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Catania | Potenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 19 | 52 | 33 | 18 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 36 | 53 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Catania | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 39% | 72% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 17% | 44% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 6% | 19% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Catania | Potenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 16 | 6 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Catania | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Catania | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-3 | 5-2 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Catania | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ Dafabet
Draw5.36 @ Pinnacle
Away11.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Catania
vs
Potenza
Expected goals
2.39
Catania xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.58
0.19
Potenza xG
League Avg: 1.04
1x2 probabilities
Home
83.0%
Draw
11.5%
Away
2.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
21.6%
Tip
1 - 0
18.1%
Tip
3 - 0
17.2%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Catania = 2.39 (league 1.51), Potenza = 0.19 (league 1.04)
| Potenza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Catania | 0 | 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.6% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.0% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 2.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1