League Two — China
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 11:00 • Beijing Institute of Technology Eastern Athletic Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.24) 0.78 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 23.3% 16.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hainan Star
0 1 2 3 4 5
BIT 0 8.0% 6.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 10.9% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBITHainan Star
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack67%22%
Defense78%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BIT Hainan Star
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins38%17%28%23%17%20%
Draws8%8%8%38%25%32%
Loses54%75%64%38%58%48%

Form: BIT: LLLWDLLLLLWLLLWLLDLWLWWWL • Hainan Star: DDDWWLLWLDLLWLLDLLDLDLLDW

League goals

Metric BIT Hainan Star
HATHAT
GF total1510257916
GF avg1.20.81.00.50.80.6
GA total131730112132
GA avg1.01.41.20.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBITHainan Star
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%72%52%68%
1.532%32%12%36%
2.58%16%0%8%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBITHainan Star
HATHAT
Clean sheets527628
Failed to score55106612

Penalties

MetricBITHainan Star
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBITHainan Star
Wins32
Draws13
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-31-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-37-0
Goals For3312
Goals Against3337

Model comparison

MetricBITHainan Star
Form64%36%
Att75%25%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : BIT or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away4.42 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.71 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BIT = 1.74 (league 1.24), Hainan Star = 0.78 (league 1.02)

Hainan Star
0 1 2 3 4 5
BIT 0 8.0% 6.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 10.9% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 16.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1