League Two — China
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:30 • Ruichang Sports Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.24) 0.43 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 22.4% 8.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
17.1%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Shangyu Pterosaur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jiangxi Liansheng 0 12.0% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 8.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.7% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJiangxi LianshengShangyu Pterosaur
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack100%60%
Defense20%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jiangxi Liansheng Shangyu Pterosaur
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%50%48%43%0%22%
Draws23%21%22%43%46%44%
Loses31%29%30%14%54%33%

Form: Jiangxi Liansheng: DDWWDLWWLLLWLWDWWWWLDLWWWDL • Shangyu Pterosaur: DWDDDWLLLLDDWDDLDDLDWLLLWDW

League goals

Metric Jiangxi Liansheng Shangyu Pterosaur
HATHAT
GF total18153316521
GF avg1.41.11.21.10.40.8
GA total141226112031
GA avg1.10.91.00.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJiangxi LianshengShangyu Pterosaur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%52%56%67%
1.526%26%22%37%
2.57%11%0%4%
3.54%7%0%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJiangxi LianshengShangyu Pterosaur
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713639
Failed to score2353912

Penalties

MetricJiangxi LianshengShangyu Pterosaur
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricJiangxi LianshengShangyu Pterosaur
Wins41
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-32-0—
Biggest losses2-44-10-25-0
Goals For5322
Goals Against4425

Model comparison

MetricJiangxi LianshengShangyu Pterosaur
Form59%41%
Att73%27%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Jiangxi Liansheng or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Superbet
Draw3.14 @ Marathonbet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No1.95 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jiangxi Liansheng = 1.69 (league 1.24), Shangyu Pterosaur = 0.43 (league 1.02)

Shangyu Pterosaur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jiangxi Liansheng 0 12.0% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 8.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.7% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 8.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1