Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.55)
0.91 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.5% | 33.7% | 35.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Detonit Plachkovica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novaci | 0 | 17.9% | 16.2% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Novaci -18.7, Detonit Plachkovica +9.0.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Novaci
vs
Detonit Plachkovica
Elo gapDetonit Plachkovica +13
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3059.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3059.5
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Novaci | Detonit Plachkovica |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1506 | 1553.5 |
| Form Elo | 1504.5 | 1567.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1555.3 | 1537.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1490.3 | 1596.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1572.7 | 1585.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -18.7 | +9.0 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Novaci last-5 Elo change: -18.7; Detonit Plachkovica last-5 Elo change: +9.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Novaci | Detonit Plachkovica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 10% | 71% |
| Defense | 81% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Novaci | Detonit Plachkovica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 31% | 48% | 62% | 42% | 52% |
| Draws | 8% | 31% | 20% | 23% | 25% | 24% |
| Loses | 25% | 38% | 32% | 15% | 33% | 24% |
NovaciWLWLWDWLLWDWWWDWWWLLDWLLD
Detonit PlachkovicaWLWLDWWDWDDDDLWWWWLLLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Novaci | Detonit Plachkovica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 15 | 37 | 24 | 22 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 14 | 21 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Novaci | Detonit Plachkovica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 44% | 72% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 24% | 48% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 12% | 32% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 4% | 16% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Novaci | Detonit Plachkovica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Novaci | Detonit Plachkovica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Novaci | Detonit Plachkovica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-5 | 6-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Novaci | Detonit Plachkovica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 12% | 88% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Novaci
vs
Detonit Plachkovica
Expected goals
0.81
Novaci xG
League Avg: 1.55
Total
1.72
0.91
Detonit Plachkovica xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
30.5%
Draw
33.7%
Away
35.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
17.9%
Tip
0 - 1
16.2%
Tip
1 - 0
14.5%
More chances
1.5+
70%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
54%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Novaci = 0.81 (league 1.55), Detonit Plachkovica = 0.91 (league 1.19)
| Detonit Plachkovica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novaci | 0 | 17.9% | 16.2% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 35.7%
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