EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:00 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 2.21) 9.24 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.0% 0.0% 10.2%
best score tips
0 - 5
5.2%
0 - 4
2.8%
0 - 3
1.2%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.2% 2.8% 5.2%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldBurton Albion
Played11
Form0%100%
Attack6%12%
Defense59%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 70 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—100%100%0%—0%

Form: Chesterfield: L • Burton Albion: W

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total011202
GF avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0
GA total077000
GA avg0.07.07.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.50%100%100%0%
2.50%100%0%0%
3.50%100%0%0%
4.50%100%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldBurton Albion
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-0—
Biggest losses—7-1——
Goals For0120
Goals Against0700

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldBurton Albion
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals62%38%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Burton Albion and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ Unibet
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 0.05 (league 2.21), Burton Albion = 9.24 (league 1.51)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.2% 2.8% 5.2%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.0% · Draw 0.0% · Away win 10.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1