EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • Wham Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 2.09) 5.02 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.1% 4.0% 55.2%
best score tips
0 - 5
6.7%
0 - 4
6.7%
1 - 5
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 0.3% 1.3% 3.2% 5.3% 6.7% 6.7%
1 0.2% 1.2% 3.1% 5.1% 6.4% 6.4%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STPort Vale
Played11
Form33%100%
Attack12%24%
Defense88%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 24 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Port Vale
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%100%—100%
Draws—100%100%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Accrington ST: D • Port Vale: W

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Port Vale
HATHAT
GF total022404
GF avg0.02.02.04.00.04.0
GA total022101
GA avg0.02.02.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STPort Vale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%100%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STPort Vale
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAccrington STPort Vale
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAccrington STPort Vale
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0240
Goals Against0210

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STPort Vale
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total34.6%65.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Port Vale and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.65 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.85 @ Unibet
Away1.77 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 0.96 (league 2.09), Port Vale = 5.02 (league 1.59)

Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 0.3% 1.3% 3.2% 5.3% 6.7% 6.7%
1 0.2% 1.2% 3.1% 5.1% 6.4% 6.4%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 4.0% · Away win 55.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1