EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:00 • AESSEAL New York Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.84 (league 2.11) 3.16 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 16.2% 37.2%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.3%
2 - 2
5.0%
3 - 3
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.7%
1 0.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.7% 2.9% 1.8%
2 1.0% 3.1% 5.0% 5.3% 4.2% 2.6%
3 0.9% 3.0% 4.7% 5.0% 3.9% 2.5%
4 0.7% 2.1% 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 1.8%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotherhamManchester City U21
Played22
Form50%50%
Attack10%17%
Defense90%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.55 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.54 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotherham Manchester City U21
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%0%50%—50%50%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%100%50%—50%50%

Form: Rotherham: LW • Manchester City U21: WL

League goals

Metric Rotherham Manchester City U21
HATHAT
GF total303055
GF avg3.00.01.50.02.52.5
GA total213044
GA avg2.01.01.50.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotherhamManchester City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%100%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.550%0%50%50%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotherhamManchester City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricRotherhamManchester City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRotherhamManchester City U21
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2——1-5
Biggest losses—1-0—3-0
Goals For3005
Goals Against2103

Model comparison

MetricRotherhamManchester City U21
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h80%20%
Goals86%14%
Total58.8%41.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rotherham or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Bet365
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away3.33 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rotherham = 2.84 (league 2.11), Manchester City U21 = 3.16 (league 1.58)

Manchester City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.7%
1 0.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.7% 2.9% 1.8%
2 1.0% 3.1% 5.0% 5.3% 4.2% 2.6%
3 0.9% 3.0% 4.7% 5.0% 3.9% 2.5%
4 0.7% 2.1% 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 1.8%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1