EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:00 • Meadow Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.80 (league 2.10) 0.63 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.6% 6.2% 2.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.9%
4 - 0
10.4%
2 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 6.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.4% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotts CountyManchester United U21
Played22
Form50%0%
Attack13%13%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 28 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notts County Manchester United U21
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%0%50%—0%0%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%100%50%—100%100%

Form: Notts County: LW • Manchester United U21: LL

League goals

Metric Notts County Manchester United U21
HATHAT
GF total202022
GF avg2.00.01.00.01.01.0
GA total134088
GA avg1.03.02.00.04.04.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotts CountyManchester United U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%100%
1.550%50%50%100%
2.50%50%0%100%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%50%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotts CountyManchester United U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricNotts CountyManchester United U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNotts CountyManchester United U21
Wins00
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1———
Biggest losses—3-0—5-2
Goals For2002
Goals Against1305

Model comparison

MetricNotts CountyManchester United U21
Form100%0%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.7%33.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Notts County and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw4.66 @ Pinnacle
Away3.95 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Pinnacle
No2.95 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Notts County = 3.80 (league 2.10), Manchester United U21 = 0.63 (league 1.60)

Manchester United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 6.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.4% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1