EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:00 • Oakwell
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 2.11) 3.80 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.1% 2.6% 78.9%
best score tips
0 - 3
19.5%
0 - 4
18.5%
0 - 2
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 2.1% 8.1% 15.4% 19.5% 18.5% 14.0%
1 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarnsleyLincoln
Played22
Form50%100%
Attack32%32%
Defense79%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 36 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barnsley Lincoln
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins100%0%50%100%—100%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%100%50%0%—0%

Form: Barnsley: LW • Lincoln: WW

League goals

Metric Barnsley Lincoln
HATHAT
GF total516606
GF avg5.01.03.03.00.03.0
GA total224000
GA avg2.02.02.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarnsleyLincoln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.550%100%100%0%
2.550%0%100%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarnsleyLincoln
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBarnsleyLincoln
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBarnsleyLincoln
Wins02
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-2—3-0—
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For5130
Goals Against2200

Model comparison

MetricBarnsleyLincoln
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals45%55%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lincoln and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.75 @ Betfair
Away2.75 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ SBO
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barnsley = 0.05 (league 2.11), Lincoln = 3.80 (league 1.58)

Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 2.1% 8.1% 15.4% 19.5% 18.5% 14.0%
1 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.1% · Draw 2.6% · Away win 78.9%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1