EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:00 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 2.06) 1.87 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 21.2% 36.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.8%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 2.2% 4.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.3% 8.0% 7.5% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.8% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.7% 5.0% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
Played22
Form100%67%
Attack32%32%
Defense95%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 36 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins100%100%100%50%—50%
Draws0%0%0%50%—50%
Loses0%0%0%0%—0%

Form: Port Vale: WW • Fleetwood Town: DW

League goals

Metric Port Vale Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
GF total426606
GF avg4.02.03.03.00.03.0
GA total101202
GA avg1.00.00.51.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeFleetwood Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%50%
1.5100%0%100%50%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.550%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
Wins20
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For4240
Goals Against1020

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeFleetwood Town
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Bet365
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 1.94 (league 2.06), Fleetwood Town = 1.87 (league 1.60)

Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 2.2% 4.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.3% 8.0% 7.5% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.8% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.7% 5.0% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 36.8%

vtt 19 , vtd1