EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • Wham Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 2.11) 0.63 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 20.8% 11.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 8.0% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 9.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STLeeds United U21
Played22
Form17%0%
Attack11%5%
Defense79%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 11 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 28 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Leeds United U21
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins0%0%0%—0%0%
Draws0%100%50%—0%0%
Loses100%0%50%—100%100%

Form: Accrington ST: DL • Leeds United U21: LL

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Leeds United U21
HATHAT
GF total022011
GF avg0.02.01.00.00.50.5
GA total224088
GA avg2.02.02.00.04.04.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STLeeds United U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%100%
1.550%100%0%100%
2.50%0%0%100%
3.50%0%0%100%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STLeeds United U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricAccrington STLeeds United U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAccrington STLeeds United U21
Wins00
Draws10
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses0-2——4-0
Goals For0201
Goals Against2204

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STLeeds United U21
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Double chance : Accrington ST or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Unibet
Draw4.55 @ Superbet
Away6.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 1.90 (league 2.11), Leeds United U21 = 0.63 (league 1.58)

Leeds United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 8.0% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 9.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 11.6%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1