EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:00 • Pirelli Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 2.11) 1.42 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.2% 26.9% 60.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.3%
0 - 2
15.2%
0 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 15.0% 21.3% 15.2% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7%
1 7.1% 10.1% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurton AlbionCrewe
Played22
Form50%100%
Attack11%47%
Defense95%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 19 | 4.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burton Albion Crewe
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins100%0%50%100%—100%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%100%50%0%—0%

Form: Burton Albion: WL • Crewe: WW

League goals

Metric Burton Albion Crewe
HATHAT
GF total202909
GF avg2.00.01.04.50.04.5
GA total011101
GA avg0.01.00.50.50.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurton AlbionCrewe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%100%50%
1.550%0%100%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurton AlbionCrewe
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricBurton AlbionCrewe
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBurton AlbionCrewe
Wins12
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—7-1—
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For2070
Goals Against0110

Model comparison

MetricBurton AlbionCrewe
Form33%67%
Att18%82%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total45.2%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : Burton Albion or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 0.47 (league 2.11), Crewe = 1.42 (league 1.58)

Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 15.0% 21.3% 15.2% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7%
1 7.1% 10.1% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 60.5%

Vtot 21 , Vtod1