EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • Exercise Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 2.11) 0.05 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.2% 15.7% 0.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.1%
2 - 0
25.7%
3 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harrogate Town 0 14.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHarrogate TownNewcastle United U21
Played22
Form100%17%
Attack17%33%
Defense100%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 14 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 08 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Harrogate Town Newcastle United U21
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%100%100%—0%0%
Draws0%0%0%—50%50%
Loses0%0%0%—50%50%

Form: Harrogate Town: WW • Newcastle United U21: LD

League goals

Metric Harrogate Town Newcastle United U21
HATHAT
GF total112044
GF avg1.01.01.00.02.02.0
GA total000088
GA avg0.00.00.00.04.04.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHarrogate TownNewcastle United U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.50%0%100%100%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%50%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHarrogate TownNewcastle United U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricHarrogate TownNewcastle United U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHarrogate TownNewcastle United U21
Wins20
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-1——
Biggest losses———6-2
Goals For1102
Goals Against0006

Model comparison

MetricHarrogate TownNewcastle United U21
Form86%14%
Att33%67%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Harrogate Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ 188Bet
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Betano
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Harrogate Town = 1.90 (league 2.11), Newcastle United U21 = 0.05 (league 1.58)

Newcastle United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harrogate Town 0 14.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.2% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 0.8%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1