EFL Trophy — England
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 19:00 • Cledara Abbey Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.55 (league 2.11) 0.63 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.4% 7.4% 3.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.4%
4 - 0
10.1%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambridge United 0 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.6% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.1% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCambridge UnitedBrighton U21
Played22
Form50%0%
Attack26%11%
Defense79%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 25 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

96%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cambridge United Brighton U21
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%0%50%—0%0%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%100%50%—100%100%

Form: Cambridge United: WL • Brighton U21: LL

League goals

Metric Cambridge United Brighton U21
HATHAT
GF total325022
GF avg3.02.02.50.01.01.0
GA total134055
GA avg1.03.02.00.02.52.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCambridge UnitedBrighton U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%50%0%100%
2.550%50%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCambridge UnitedBrighton U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCambridge UnitedBrighton U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 33.33%
Total06

Streaks

MetricCambridge UnitedBrighton U21
Wins10
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1———
Biggest losses—3-2—3-1
Goals For3201
Goals Against1303

Model comparison

MetricCambridge UnitedBrighton U21
Form100%0%
Att71%29%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total69.7%30.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Cambridge United and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 188Bet
Draw6.40 @ Superbet
Away11.75 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.47 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cambridge United = 3.55 (league 2.11), Brighton U21 = 0.63 (league 1.58)

Brighton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambridge United 0 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.6% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.1% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.4% · Draw 7.4% · Away win 3.3%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1