EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:00 • Weston Homes Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 2.09) 3.76 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.5% 12.9% 53.6%
best score tips
1 - 3
5.8%
2 - 3
5.6%
1 - 4
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peterborough 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.4% 3.0% 2.9% 2.1%
1 0.7% 2.5% 4.6% 5.8% 5.5% 4.1%
2 0.6% 2.4% 4.4% 5.6% 5.2% 3.9%
3 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.6% 3.3% 2.5%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPeterboroughAston Villa U21
Played11
Form0%0%
Attack4%9%
Defense87%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 34 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

100%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Peterborough Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins0%—0%—0%0%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses100%—100%—100%100%

Form: Peterborough: L • Aston Villa U21: L

League goals

Metric Peterborough Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
GF total101022
GF avg1.00.01.00.02.02.0
GA total303044
GA avg3.00.03.00.04.04.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePeterboroughAston Villa U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.50%100%100%100%
2.50%100%0%100%
3.50%0%0%100%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPeterboroughAston Villa U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPeterboroughAston Villa U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPeterboroughAston Villa U21
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses1-3——4-2
Goals For1002
Goals Against3004

Model comparison

MetricPeterboroughAston Villa U21
Form0%0%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aston Villa U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 188Bet
Draw5.55 @ Superbet
Away8.70 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Peterborough = 1.92 (league 2.09), Aston Villa U21 = 3.76 (league 1.59)

Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peterborough 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.4% 3.0% 2.9% 2.1%
1 0.7% 2.5% 4.6% 5.8% 5.5% 4.1%
2 0.6% 2.4% 4.4% 5.6% 5.2% 3.9%
3 0.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.6% 3.3% 2.5%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 53.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1