EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 2.11) 0.05 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 38.6% 1.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.9%
1 - 0
34.9%
2 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 36.9% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffNewport County
Played11
Form100%0%
Attack6%6%
Defense100%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

29%
FT probability

2.5+

20%
FT probability

3.5+

14%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Newport County
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—100%100%0%—0%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%100%—100%

Form: Cardiff: W • Newport County: L

League goals

Metric Cardiff Newport County
HATHAT
GF total011101
GF avg0.01.01.01.00.01.0
GA total000202
GA avg0.00.00.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.50%0%0%100%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCardiffNewport County
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCardiffNewport County
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1——
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For0110
Goals Against0020

Model comparison

MetricCardiffNewport County
Form100%0%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cardiff or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ Superbet
Draw7.00 @ Betfair
Away13.75 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.95 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 0.95 (league 2.11), Newport County = 0.05 (league 1.58)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 36.9% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 1.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1