EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:00 • BetWright Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.79 (league 2.11) 1.27 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.7% 10.0% 7.8%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.3%
4 - 1
6.9%
2 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leyton Orient 0 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.6% 5.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.5% 6.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
5 4.2% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeyton OrientAston Villa U21
Played22
Form100%0%
Attack17%14%
Defense93%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.54 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 18 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

66%
FT probability

BTTS

99%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leyton Orient Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%100%100%—0%0%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—100%100%

Form: Leyton Orient: WW • Aston Villa U21: LL

League goals

Metric Leyton Orient Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
GF total235044
GF avg2.03.02.50.02.02.0
GA total112088
GA avg1.01.01.00.04.04.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeyton OrientAston Villa U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%100%
2.550%0%0%100%
3.50%0%0%100%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeyton OrientAston Villa U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLeyton OrientAston Villa U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLeyton OrientAston Villa U21
Wins20
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3——
Biggest losses———4-2
Goals For2302
Goals Against1104

Model comparison

MetricLeyton OrientAston Villa U21
Form100%0%
Att56%44%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Leyton Orient or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ Bet365
Draw6.29 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.27 @ Unibet
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leyton Orient = 3.79 (league 2.11), Aston Villa U21 = 1.27 (league 1.58)

Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leyton Orient 0 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.6% 5.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.5% 6.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
5 4.2% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.7% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 7.8%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1