EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:00 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.62 (league 2.21) 0.67 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.5% 7.3% 3.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.9%
4 - 0
9.8%
2 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonBrighton U21
Played21
Form50%0%
Attack17%3%
Defense86%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.51 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 22 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

96%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Brighton U21
HATHAT
Played112011
Wins100%0%50%—0%0%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%100%50%—100%100%

Form: Luton: WL • Brighton U21: L

League goals

Metric Luton Brighton U21
HATHAT
GF total415011
GF avg4.01.02.50.01.01.0
GA total134022
GA avg1.03.02.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonBrighton U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.550%50%0%100%
2.550%50%0%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonBrighton U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLutonBrighton U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 33.33%
Total16

Streaks

MetricLutonBrighton U21
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1———
Biggest losses—3-1—2-1
Goals For4101
Goals Against1302

Model comparison

MetricLutonBrighton U21
Form100%0%
Att83%17%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Luton and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Bet365
Draw6.82 @ Pinnacle
Away12.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Luton = 3.62 (league 2.21), Brighton U21 = 0.67 (league 1.50)

Brighton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 3.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1