EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:00 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 2.11) 2.53 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 16.3% 67.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.9%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 3
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 3.1% 7.8% 9.9% 8.3% 5.3% 2.7%
1 2.9% 7.4% 9.4% 7.9% 5.0% 2.5%
2 1.4% 3.5% 4.4% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyExeter City
Played22
Form50%50%
Attack11%21%
Defense89%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 14 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 14 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Exeter City
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins0%100%50%50%—50%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses100%0%50%50%—50%

Form: Newport County: LW • Exeter City: LW

League goals

Metric Newport County Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total112404
GF avg1.01.01.02.00.02.0
GA total202404
GA avg2.00.01.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.50%50%50%50%
2.50%0%50%50%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyExeter City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyExeter City
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-14-3—
Biggest losses1-2—0-1—
Goals For1140
Goals Against2030

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyExeter City
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Newport County or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ 10Bet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.21 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 0.95 (league 2.11), Exeter City = 2.53 (league 1.58)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 3.1% 7.8% 9.9% 8.3% 5.3% 2.7%
1 2.9% 7.4% 9.4% 7.9% 5.0% 2.5%
2 1.4% 3.5% 4.4% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 67.3%

Vtot 21 , Vtod1