EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:00 • Memorial Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 2.09) 10.03 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.2% 0.5% 5.8%
best score tips
1 - 5
1.0%
2 - 5
1.0%
3 - 5
0.6%
Score & goals probability table
Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol Rovers 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol RoversPlymouth
Played22
Form67%100%
Attack26%42%
Defense79%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.58 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 22 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol Rovers Plymouth
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins0%100%50%100%—100%
Draws100%0%50%0%—0%
Loses0%0%0%0%—0%

Form: Bristol Rovers: DW • Plymouth: WW

League goals

Metric Bristol Rovers Plymouth
HATHAT
GF total415808
GF avg4.01.02.54.00.04.0
GA total404202
GA avg4.00.02.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol RoversPlymouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%50%
1.550%50%100%50%
2.550%50%50%0%
3.550%50%50%0%
4.50%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol RoversPlymouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBristol RoversPlymouth
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBristol RoversPlymouth
Wins02
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-16-2—
Biggest losses————
Goals For4160
Goals Against4020

Model comparison

MetricBristol RoversPlymouth
Form40%60%
Att38%62%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total37.4%62.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Plymouth and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Bet365
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away2.23 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ SBO
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol Rovers = 1.92 (league 2.09), Plymouth = 10.03 (league 1.59)

Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol Rovers 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 0.5% · Away win 5.8%

Vtot 23 , Vtod1