EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:00 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 2.09) 0.05 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
86.4% 6.2% 0.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
22.2%
3 - 0
21.3%
1 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Shrewsbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 5.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 21.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonShrewsbury
Played22
Form100%50%
Attack21%21%
Defense100%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 24 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Shrewsbury
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins100%100%100%50%—50%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%0%0%50%—50%

Form: Northampton: WW • Shrewsbury: WL

League goals

Metric Northampton Shrewsbury
HATHAT
GF total314404
GF avg3.01.02.02.00.02.0
GA total000404
GA avg0.00.00.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonShrewsbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.550%0%50%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonShrewsbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonShrewsbury
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonShrewsbury
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-1—
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For3130
Goals Against0030

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonShrewsbury
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Northampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.83 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 2.88 (league 2.09), Shrewsbury = 0.05 (league 1.59)

Shrewsbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 5.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 21.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 86.4% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 0.3%

Vtot 17 , Vtod1