EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:00 • Stadium MK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 2.11) 7.91 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.4% 0.8% 18.7%
best score tips
1 - 5
3.4%
0 - 5
2.9%
1 - 4
2.2%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.8% 2.9%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.2% 3.4%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 2.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Played22
Form0%50%
Attack5%26%
Defense68%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.55 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 35 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins0%0%0%50%—50%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses100%100%100%50%—50%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: LL • Swindon Town: WL

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total101505
GF avg1.00.00.52.50.02.5
GA total516505
GA avg5.01.03.02.50.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%100%
1.50%50%100%100%
2.50%50%50%50%
3.50%50%0%0%
4.50%50%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Wins01
Draws00
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-2—
Biggest losses1-51-02-3—
Goals For1030
Goals Against5130

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Form0%100%
Att17%83%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals76%24%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away2.02 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ SBO
Under 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Superbet
No2.45 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 1.18 (league 2.11), Swindon Town = 7.91 (league 1.58)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.8% 2.9%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.2% 3.4%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 2.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.4% · Draw 0.8% · Away win 18.7%

Vtot 20 , Vtod1