EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • Broadfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.79 (league 2.09) 3.14 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 11.1% 14.7%
best score tips
4 - 3
4.1%
5 - 3
3.9%
4 - 2
3.9%
Score & goals probability table
Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crawley Town 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
2 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0%
3 0.7% 2.1% 3.3% 3.4% 2.7% 1.7%
4 0.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.1% 3.2% 2.0%
5 0.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.9% 3.1% 1.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrawley TownPeterborough
Played22
Form50%50%
Attack26%26%
Defense79%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.55 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 25 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

94%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crawley Town Peterborough
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins100%0%50%50%—50%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%100%50%50%—50%

Form: Crawley Town: WL • Peterborough: LW

League goals

Metric Crawley Town Peterborough
HATHAT
GF total415505
GF avg4.01.02.52.50.02.5
GA total224505
GA avg2.02.02.02.50.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrawley TownPeterborough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.550%100%50%100%
2.550%0%50%50%
3.550%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrawley TownPeterborough
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCrawley TownPeterborough
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCrawley TownPeterborough
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2—4-2—
Biggest losses—2-11-3—
Goals For4140
Goals Against2230

Model comparison

MetricCrawley TownPeterborough
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals38%62%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Peterborough and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.19 @ 1xBet
Draw4.99 @ Pinnacle
Away2.16 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.67 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crawley Town = 4.79 (league 2.09), Peterborough = 3.14 (league 1.59)

Peterborough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crawley Town 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
2 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0%
3 0.7% 2.1% 3.3% 3.4% 2.7% 1.7%
4 0.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.1% 3.2% 2.0%
5 0.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.9% 3.1% 1.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 14.7%

Vtot 18 , Vtod1