EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • JobServe Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.32 (league 2.11) 0.63 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.5% 8.7% 3.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.7%
2 - 0
10.6%
4 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fulham U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.6% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.7% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchesterFulham U21
Played22
Form100%0%
Attack21%11%
Defense89%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 22 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 17 | 3.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

95%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester Fulham U21
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%100%100%—0%0%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—100%100%

Form: Colchester: WW • Fulham U21: LL

League goals

Metric Colchester Fulham U21
HATHAT
GF total224022
GF avg2.02.02.00.01.01.0
GA total112077
GA avg1.01.01.00.03.53.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchesterFulham U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%0%100%
2.50%0%0%100%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchesterFulham U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricColchesterFulham U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricColchesterFulham U21
Wins20
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-2——
Biggest losses———4-1
Goals For2201
Goals Against1104

Model comparison

MetricColchesterFulham U21
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total75.3%24.7%

Advice: Winner : Colchester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.65 @ 188Bet
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Unibet
No2.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colchester = 3.32 (league 2.11), Fulham U21 = 0.63 (league 1.58)

Fulham U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.6% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.7% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.7% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.5% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1