EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 2.11) 1.58 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.7% 24.8% 60.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.0%
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 11.4% 18.0% 14.2% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9%
1 6.7% 10.7% 8.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffArsenal U21
Played22
Form50%50%
Attack5%26%
Defense95%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.55 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.55 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins0%100%50%—50%50%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses100%0%50%—50%50%

Form: Cardiff: WL • Arsenal U21: WL

League goals

Metric Cardiff Arsenal U21
HATHAT
GF total011055
GF avg0.01.00.50.02.52.5
GA total101055
GA avg1.00.00.50.02.52.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffArsenal U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%100%100%
1.50%0%100%50%
2.50%0%50%50%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffArsenal U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricCardiffArsenal U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCardiffArsenal U21
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1—1-2
Biggest losses0-1——4-3
Goals For0103
Goals Against1004

Model comparison

MetricCardiffArsenal U21
Form50%50%
Att17%83%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Winner : Arsenal U21

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Bet365
Draw4.83 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ 188Bet
No3.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 0.59 (league 2.11), Arsenal U21 = 1.58 (league 1.58)

Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 11.4% 18.0% 14.2% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9%
1 6.7% 10.7% 8.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 60.9%

Vtot 15 , Vtod1