EFL Trophy
— England
Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 •
Cardiff City Stadium
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 2.10)
1.58 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 24.8% | 60.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.9%
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Arsenal U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cardiff | 0 | 11.3% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cardiff | Arsenal U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Attack | 5% | 26% |
| Defense | 95% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 5 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 5 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cardiff | Arsenal U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 50% | — | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 50% | — | 50% | 50% |
CardiffWL
Arsenal U21WL
League goals
| Metric | Cardiff | Arsenal U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cardiff | Arsenal U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cardiff | Arsenal U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cardiff | Arsenal U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cardiff | Arsenal U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cardiff | Arsenal U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.62 @ Bet365
Draw4.83 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.43 @ 188Bet
No3.60 @ Betfair
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League standings
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