Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 17:45 •
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.82)
0.87 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4% | 12.9% | 8.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.7%
3 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Eintracht Frankfurt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Qarabag | 0 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Qarabag | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 7% |
| Attack | 54% | 23% |
| Defense | 15% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Qarabag | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 58% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: Qarabag: WWWWWLWWLDLL • Eintracht Frankfurt: WLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Qarabag | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Qarabag | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 67% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 50% | 17% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 25% | 17% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 17% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 17% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Qarabag | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Qarabag | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Qarabag | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-1 | 1-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Qarabag | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 71.5% | 28.5% |
Advice: Winner : Qarabag
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.09 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.89 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 2.91 (league 1.82), Eintracht Frankfurt = 0.87 (league 1.37)
| Eintracht Frankfurt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Qarabag | 0 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 8.2%
vtt 6 , vtd1
