Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 17:45 • Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.79) 0.86 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 12.5% 7.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.6%
3 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.6% 8.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 8.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.0% 6.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQarabagEintracht Frankfurt
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack54%23%
Defense15%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qarabag Eintracht Frankfurt
HATHAT
Played6612336
Wins50%67%58%33%0%17%
Draws17%0%8%0%33%17%
Loses33%33%33%67%67%67%

Form: Qarabag: WWWWWLWWLDLL • Eintracht Frankfurt: WLLDLL

League goals

Metric Qarabag Eintracht Frankfurt
HATHAT
GF total141125628
GF avg2.31.82.12.00.71.3
GA total108189716
GA avg1.71.31.53.02.32.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQarabagEintracht Frankfurt
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%67%67%83%
1.567%50%17%67%
2.533%25%17%50%
3.58%8%17%33%
4.58%0%17%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQarabagEintracht Frankfurt
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricQarabagEintracht Frankfurt
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricQarabagEintracht Frankfurt
Wins51
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-35-1—
Biggest losses2-43-11-55-1
Goals For5351
Goals Against4355

Model comparison

MetricQarabagEintracht Frankfurt
Form80%20%
Att70%30%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.5%28.5%

Advice: Winner : Qarabag

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 2.96 (league 1.79), Eintracht Frankfurt = 0.86 (league 1.38)

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.6% 8.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 8.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.0% 6.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 7.8%

vtt 6 , vtd1