First League
— Bulgaria
Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 13:30 •
Ogosta Stadium
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.30)
2.27 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 15.6% | 75.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.3%
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 3
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ludogorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montana | 0 | 6.3% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montana | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 67% |
| Attack | 0% | 100% |
| Defense | 43% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montana | Ludogorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 18% | 8% | 13% | 58% | 50% | 54% |
| Draws | 36% | 23% | 29% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 45% | 69% | 58% | 8% | 17% | 13% |
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LudogoretsWWWWDWDDWDDLDLWWWDWWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Montana | Ludogorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 22 | 37 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montana | Ludogorets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 71% | 83% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 4% | 42% | 54% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 13% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montana | Ludogorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montana | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montana | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-0 | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montana | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 9% | 91% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 8% | 92% |
| Total | 19.4% | 80.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home18.00 @ Betfair
Draw7.12 @ Pinnacle
Away1.19 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.88 @ Betfair
No1.54 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Montana
vs
Ludogorets
Expected goals
0.49
Montana xG
League Avg: 1.30
Total
2.76
2.27
Ludogorets xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
6.5%
Draw
15.6%
Away
75.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
16.3%
Tip
0 - 1
14.4%
Tip
0 - 3
12.3%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Montana = 0.49 (league 1.30), Ludogorets = 2.27 (league 1.11)
| Ludogorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montana | 0 | 6.3% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.5% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 75.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1