Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Sinergy Stadium
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.35)
1.52 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.3% | 24.5% | 39.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chievo | 0 | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 63% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 53% | 56% | 55% | 44% | 20% | 32% |
| Draws | 13% | 13% | 13% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 31% | 32% | 31% | 47% | 39% |
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CastellanzeseDDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLWLDDLLWWLWDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 22 | 46 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 21 | 17 | 38 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chievo | Castellanzese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 61% | 65% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 23% | 10% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ William Hill
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No1.88 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Chievo
vs
Castellanzese
Expected goals
1.42
Chievo xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
2.94
1.52
Castellanzese xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
35.3%
Draw
24.5%
Away
39.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.4%
Tip
1 - 2
8.7%
Tip
2 - 1
8.1%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Chievo = 1.42 (league 1.35), Castellanzese = 1.52 (league 1.20)
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chievo | 0 | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.3% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 39.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1