Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Pianigiani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.27) 0.96 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.1% 28.6% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Montevarchi Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Donato Tavarnelle 0 10.9% 10.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.3% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi Calcio
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack16%21%
Defense68%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Montevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
Played891710818
Wins38%33%35%20%38%28%
Draws38%33%35%60%13%39%
Loses25%33%29%20%50%33%

Form: San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDWWLLWDDDLL • Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDLWWDD

League goals

Metric San Donato Tavarnelle Montevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
GF total88168917
GF avg1.00.90.90.81.10.9
GA total71017111324
GA avg0.91.11.01.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%76%61%67%
1.524%18%22%33%
2.56%6%11%22%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi Calcio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi Calcio
Wins22
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-43-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi Calcio
Form27%73%
Att43%57%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Montevarchi Calcio and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.72 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Donato Tavarnelle = 1.26 (league 1.27), Montevarchi Calcio = 0.96 (league 1.03)

Montevarchi Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Donato Tavarnelle 0 10.9% 10.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.3% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 28.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1