Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Pianigiani
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.24)
0.98 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.3% | 28.1% | 28.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Montevarchi Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 0 | 10.3% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Montevarchi Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 16% | 21% |
| Defense | 68% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Montevarchi Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 38% | 33% | 35% | 20% | 38% | 28% |
| Draws | 38% | 33% | 35% | 60% | 13% | 39% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 29% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
San Donato TavarnelleWDWWDLDWWLLWDDDLL
Montevarchi CalcioLDLWDDLWDLLWDLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Montevarchi Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Donato Tavarnelle | Montevarchi Calcio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 76% | 61% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 18% | 22% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Montevarchi Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Montevarchi Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Montevarchi Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Montevarchi Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.05 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.72 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
San Donato Tavarnelle
vs
Montevarchi Calcio
Expected goals
1.29
San Donato Tavarnelle xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
2.27
0.98
Montevarchi Calcio xG
League Avg: 1.01
1x2 probabilities
Home
43.3%
Draw
28.1%
Away
28.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.3%
Tip
1 - 1
13.1%
Tip
0 - 0
10.3%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): San Donato Tavarnelle = 1.29 (league 1.24), Montevarchi Calcio = 0.98 (league 1.01)
| Montevarchi Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 0 | 10.3% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 28.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1