Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Buitoni
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.24)
1.07 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.2% | 33.2% | 47.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.9%
0 - 0
19.5%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting Trestina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sansepolcro | 0 | 19.5% | 20.9% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 30% | 50% |
| Defense | 30% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Sporting Trestina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 13% | 0% | 6% | 38% | 27% | 32% |
| Draws | 53% | 38% | 45% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 33% | 63% | 48% | 31% | 40% | 35% |
Form: Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWDLLDDLLDDLLDLDDLLDD • Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLWWDDDWLLLDWLLLWWWDWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Sporting Trestina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 28 | 42 | 14 | 21 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sansepolcro | Sporting Trestina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 77% | 77% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Sporting Trestina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 28.7% | 71.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sporting Trestina and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.13 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.11 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sansepolcro
vs
Sporting Trestina
Expected goals
0.56
Sansepolcro xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
1.63
1.07
Sporting Trestina xG
League Avg: 1.01
1x2 probabilities
Home
19.2%
Draw
33.2%
Away
47.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
20.9%
Tip
0 - 0
19.5%
Tip
1 - 1
11.8%
More chances
1.5+
58%
Chance
2.5+
41%
Chance
3.5+
29%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sansepolcro = 0.56 (league 1.24), Sporting Trestina = 1.07 (league 1.01)
| Sporting Trestina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sansepolcro | 0 | 19.5% | 20.9% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.2% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 47.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1