Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.30)
1.83 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 22.6% | 57.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 1
10.7%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 6.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 6% | 19% | 31% | 40% | 35% |
| Draws | 13% | 19% | 16% | 50% | 27% | 39% |
| Loses | 53% | 75% | 65% | 19% | 33% | 26% |
Form: Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLDLWLLLDWLLLWLWWLDD • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWWDWDLDDWDDWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 10 | 28 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 29 | 28 | 57 | 18 | 15 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castelfidardo Calcio | Vigor Senigallia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 84% | 74% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 61% | 32% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 29% | 10% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Vigor Senigallia
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Castelfidardo Calcio
vs
Vigor Senigallia
Expected goals
0.93
Castelfidardo Calcio xG
League Avg: 1.30
Total
2.76
1.83
Vigor Senigallia xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
18.6%
Draw
22.6%
Away
57.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
11.6%
Tip
1 - 1
10.7%
Tip
0 - 2
10.6%
More chances
1.5+
73%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.93 (league 1.30), Vigor Senigallia = 1.83 (league 1.14)
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 6.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.6% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 57.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1