Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Nicola Tubaldi
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.30)
1.74 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.5% | 23.4% | 44.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Recanatese | Sora |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Recanatese | Sora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 20% | 19% | 19% | 25% | 20% | 23% |
| Draws | 33% | 13% | 23% | 31% | 40% | 35% |
| Loses | 47% | 69% | 58% | 44% | 40% | 42% |
Form: Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWLWDDWLLLDWLDLLDLLDLWL • Sora: LDWLDLWDWLLDLLLDWWLLWDDDDWLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Recanatese | Sora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 15 | 33 | 20 | 16 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 27 | 28 | 55 | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Recanatese | Sora | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 90% | 58% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 58% | 39% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 16% | 13% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 13% | 6% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Recanatese | Sora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Recanatese | Sora |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Recanatese | Sora |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Recanatese | Sora |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Recanatese or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.40 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away2.70 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.92 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.77 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ Marathonbet
No1.99 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Recanatese = 1.39 (league 1.30), Sora = 1.74 (league 1.14)
| Sora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 44.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
