Avance Ezcabarte vs Peña Sport

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 — Spain

Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 15:00 • Campo Igueldea

Match Finished

Avance Ezcabarte

2 - 1

Peña Sport

Expected Goals

1.52 (league 1.50) 1.43 (league 1.08)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
39.3%	24.5%	35.4%

best score tips

1 - 1

11.4%

2 - 1

8.6%

1 - 2

8.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Peña Sport
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Avance Ezcabarte	0	5.2%	7.5%	5.4%	2.6%	0.9%	0.3%
	1	8.0%	11.4%	8.1%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
	2	6.0%	8.6%	6.2%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
	3	3.1%	4.4%	3.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.2%
	4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Avance Ezcabarte	Peña Sport
Played	5	5
Form	47%	87%
Attack	78%	89%
Defense	44%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%

FT probability

2.5+

56%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

75%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Avance Ezcabarte			Peña Sport
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	15	29	15	14	29
Wins	50%	27%	38%	87%	57%	72%
Draws	43%	20%	31%	13%	14%	14%
Loses	7%	53%	31%	0%	29%	14%

Avance EzcabarteLWLWLDLDDWWWLLDWDDWDWDLWDWLWL

Peña SportWWWWWWLWWWWWWDWLWDLWLDWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric	Avance Ezcabarte			Peña Sport
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	27	13	40	35	20	55
GF avg	1.9	0.9	1.4	2.3	1.4	1.9
GA total	15	21	36	15	17	32
GA avg	1.1	1.4	1.2	1.0	1.2	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Avance Ezcabarte		Peña Sport
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	79%	72%	97%	72%
1.5	31%	28%	69%	24%
2.5	21%	10%	10%	10%
3.5	7%	7%	7%	3%
4.5	0%	3%	7%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Avance Ezcabarte			Peña Sport
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	3	8	4	4	8
Failed to score	1	5	6	0	1	1

Penalties

Metric	Avance Ezcabarte	Peña Sport
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	4

Streaks

Metric	Avance Ezcabarte	Peña Sport
Wins	3	6
Draws	2	1
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	1-3	5-2	0-2
Biggest losses	4-6	4-0	—	4-1
Goals For	4	3	5	2
Goals Against	6	4	3	4

Model comparison

Metric	Avance Ezcabarte	Peña Sport
Form	35%	65%
Att	47%	53%
Def	38%	63%
Poisson Distribution	52%	48%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	23%	77%
Total	39.0%	61.2%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.96 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.30 @ William Hill

Away2.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill

No1.96 @ 1xBet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Avance Ezcabarte vs Peña Sport

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Avance Ezcabarte

Peña Sport

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 • Spain • Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 15:00 • Campo Igueldea

Expected goals

1.52

Avance Ezcabarte xG League Avg: 1.50

Total

2.95

1.43

Peña Sport xG League Avg: 1.08

1x2 probabilities

Home

39.3%

Draw

24.5%

Away

35.4%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

11.4%

Tip

2 - 1

8.6%

Tip

1 - 2

8.1%

More chances

1.5+

80%

Chance

2.5+

56%

Chance

3.5+

40%

Chance

BTTS

75%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#AvanceEzcabarte #PeñaSport #TerceraDivisiónRfefGroup15 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Avance Ezcabarte = 1.52 (league 1.50), Peña Sport = 1.43 (league 1.08)

		Peña Sport
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Avance Ezcabarte	0	5.2%	7.5%	5.4%	2.6%	0.9%	0.3%
	1	8.0%	11.4%	8.1%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
	2	6.0%	8.6%	6.2%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
	3	3.1%	4.4%	3.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.2%
	4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 35.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Avance Ezcabarte	Peña Sport
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	4