Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 13:00 • Muhanga Regional Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.16) 1.16 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 32.1% 56.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.3%
0 - 0
21.9%
0 - 2
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Gicumbi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Muhanga 0 21.9% 25.3% 14.6% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4%
1 7.9% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMuhangaGicumbi
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack9%64%
Defense36%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Muhanga Gicumbi
HATHAT
Played78158816
Wins0%38%20%38%25%31%
Draws43%0%20%25%13%19%
Loses57%63%60%38%63%50%

Form: Muhanga: LLLDWLLWWLDLLDL • Gicumbi: LLWDWDLLDWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Muhanga Gicumbi
HATHAT
GF total24610919
GF avg0.30.50.41.31.11.2
GA total71017131124
GA avg1.01.31.11.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMuhangaGicumbi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%73%75%81%
1.57%33%31%44%
2.50%7%6%19%
3.50%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMuhangaGicumbi
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score5510044

Penalties

MetricMuhangaGicumbi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMuhangaGicumbi
Wins21
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-12-4
Biggest losses0-23-01-42-0
Goals For1224
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricMuhangaGicumbi
Form25%75%
Att13%88%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total38.7%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gicumbi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Muhanga = 0.36 (league 1.16), Gicumbi = 1.16 (league 0.95)

Gicumbi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Muhanga 0 21.9% 25.3% 14.6% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4%
1 7.9% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 56.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1