Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 09:35 •
Campbelltown Stadium
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.56)
1.77 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.3% | 22.3% | 38.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Wellington Phoenix | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Macarthur | 0 | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Macarthur | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 44% |
| Defense | 19% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Macarthur | Wellington Phoenix | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 38% | 33% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 15% | 33% | 24% |
| Loses | 33% | 42% | 38% | 46% | 33% | 40% |
Form: Macarthur: LWDLWLDWDWWDLDWDDLLLLWWL • Wellington Phoenix: DWDLLWLLWLWDWLDLDLLDWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Macarthur | Wellington Phoenix | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 22 | 19 | 41 | 23 | 21 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Macarthur | Wellington Phoenix | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 88% | 84% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 46% | 52% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 25% | 8% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 13% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Macarthur | Wellington Phoenix | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Macarthur | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Macarthur | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 4-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Macarthur | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 24% | 76% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 39.3% | 60.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Wellington Phoenix
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Macarthur
vs
Wellington Phoenix
Expected goals
1.73
Macarthur xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
3.50
1.77
Wellington Phoenix xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
37.3%
Draw
22.3%
Away
38.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.2%
Tip
1 - 2
8.2%
Tip
2 - 1
8.0%
More chances
1.5+
91%
Chance
2.5+
64%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Macarthur = 1.73 (league 1.56), Wellington Phoenix = 1.77 (league 1.43)
| Wellington Phoenix | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Macarthur | 0 | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 38.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1