Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 09:35 •
CommBank Stadium
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.56)
1.28 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8% | 28.1% | 41.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Melbourne Victory | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 0 | 10.0% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Western Sydney Wanderers | Melbourne Victory |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 53% |
| Attack | 38% | 92% |
| Defense | 0% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Western Sydney Wanderers | Melbourne Victory | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 25% | 15% | 20% | 46% | 33% | 40% |
| Draws | 33% | 15% | 24% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 42% | 69% | 56% | 23% | 42% | 32% |
Form: Western Sydney Wanderers: DLDLWWLDLLLWLWLDDLWLDLLLL • Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDWWWWLLWLWDWDDWWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Western Sydney Wanderers | Melbourne Victory | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 17 | 24 | 41 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Western Sydney Wanderers | Melbourne Victory | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 80% | 68% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 56% | 52% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 20% | 28% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 16% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Western Sydney Wanderers | Melbourne Victory | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Western Sydney Wanderers | Melbourne Victory |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Western Sydney Wanderers | Melbourne Victory |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Western Sydney Wanderers | Melbourne Victory |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11% | 89% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Melbourne Victory
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ 10Bet
Away2.25 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.48 @ 10Bet
No2.63 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Western Sydney Wanderers
vs
Melbourne Victory
Expected goals
1.03
Western Sydney Wanderers xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
2.30
1.28
Melbourne Victory xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.8%
Draw
28.1%
Away
41.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.1%
Tip
0 - 1
12.8%
Tip
1 - 0
10.3%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Western Sydney Wanderers = 1.03 (league 1.56), Melbourne Victory = 1.28 (league 1.43)
| Melbourne Victory | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 0 | 10.0% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 41.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1