Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 13:55 •
Dibba Al-Hisn Stadium
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.45)
0.95 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.4% | 26.1% | 24.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Arabi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dibba Al Hisn | 0 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Dibba Al Hisn carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 41 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dibba Al Hisn +20.8, Al Arabi +28.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Dibba Al Hisn
vs
Al Arabi
Elo gapDibba Al Hisn +41
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo3081
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3081
Elo home share
56%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Dibba Al Hisn | Al Arabi |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1543.3 | 1537.7 |
| Form Elo | 1564.4 | 1557.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1510.8 | 1542 |
| Attack Elo | 1628.3 | 1506.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1566 | 1525.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +20.8 | +28.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Dibba Al Hisn last-5 Elo change: +20.8; Al Arabi last-5 Elo change: +28.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dibba Al Hisn | Al Arabi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 73% | 67% |
| Defense | 60% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dibba Al Hisn | Al Arabi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 73% | 45% | 59% | 50% | 64% | 57% |
| Draws | 9% | 27% | 18% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Loses | 18% | 27% | 23% | 33% | 9% | 22% |
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Al ArabiWWLDWWDDLDWLWWWWDLLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Dibba Al Hisn | Al Arabi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 23 | 49 | 21 | 19 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dibba Al Hisn | Al Arabi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 45% | 83% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 77% | 32% | 52% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 18% | 26% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dibba Al Hisn | Al Arabi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dibba Al Hisn | Al Arabi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dibba Al Hisn | Al Arabi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dibba Al Hisn | Al Arabi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Dibba Al Hisn
vs
Al Arabi
Expected goals
1.49
Dibba Al Hisn xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
2.45
0.95
Al Arabi xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
49.4%
Draw
26.1%
Away
24.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.0%
Tip
1 - 1
12.3%
Tip
2 - 0
9.7%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Dibba Al Hisn = 1.49 (league 1.45), Al Arabi = 0.95 (league 1.43)
| Al Arabi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dibba Al Hisn | 0 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 24.0%
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