Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Ingfield Stadium
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.35)
1.63 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.3% | 24.6% | 56.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Bradford (Park Avenue) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ossett United | 0 | 8.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Bradford (Park Avenue) carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 68 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ossett United -30.8, Bradford (Park Avenue) +24.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Ossett United
vs
Bradford (Park Avenue)
Elo gapBradford (Park Avenue) +68
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo2940.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2940.3
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ossett United | Bradford (Park Avenue) |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1418.5 | 1521.8 |
| Form Elo | 1395.3 | 1531 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1474 | 1499 |
| Attack Elo | 1425.1 | 1601.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1488.4 | 1509.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -30.8 | +24.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Ossett United last-5 Elo change: -30.8; Bradford (Park Avenue) last-5 Elo change: +24.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ossett United | Bradford (Park Avenue) |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 38% | 81% |
| Defense | 63% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ossett United | Bradford (Park Avenue) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 21 | 43 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 23% | 19% | 21% | 55% | 42% | 49% |
| Draws | 36% | 29% | 33% | 30% | 32% | 31% |
| Loses | 41% | 52% | 47% | 15% | 26% | 21% |
Ossett UnitedLDWLLDDDLDWWDLDWWLDLLLWWLLLDLLWDDDLLLDLLDLW
Bradford (Park Avenue)DDDWWWDWWDWLWDDWLLDWWDLLWWDDWLWWLDWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ossett United | Bradford (Park Avenue) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 24 | 50 | 35 | 27 | 62 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 30 | 34 | 64 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ossett United | Bradford (Park Avenue) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 77% | 77% | 51% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 42% | 46% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 21% | 21% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ossett United | Bradford (Park Avenue) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ossett United | Bradford (Park Avenue) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ossett United | Bradford (Park Avenue) |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 8-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ossett United | Bradford (Park Avenue) |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ossett United
vs
Bradford (Park Avenue)
Expected goals
0.80
Ossett United xG
League Avg: 1.35
Total
2.43
1.63
Bradford (Park Avenue) xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
18.3%
Draw
24.6%
Away
56.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
14.4%
Tip
0 - 2
11.7%
Tip
1 - 1
11.5%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ossett United = 0.80 (league 1.35), Bradford (Park Avenue) = 1.63 (league 1.20)
| Bradford (Park Avenue) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ossett United | 0 | 8.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 56.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1