Cup — Russia
Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 16:30 • Fakel Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.38) 1.14 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.6% 32.3% 66.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
34.7%
0 - 0
30.5%
0 - 2
19.7%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 30.5% 34.7% 19.7% 7.5% 2.1% 0.5%
1 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFakelArsenal Tula
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack23%31%
Defense92%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.54 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.50 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fakel Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Fakel: WW • Arsenal Tula: WW

League goals

Metric Fakel Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
GF total123134
GF avg1.02.01.51.03.02.0
GA total011000
GA avg0.01.00.50.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFakelArsenal Tula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%0%
1.550%0%50%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFakelArsenal Tula
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFakelArsenal Tula
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFakelArsenal Tula
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-21-00-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For1213
Goals Against0100

Model comparison

MetricFakelArsenal Tula
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h64%36%
Goals56%44%
Total53.3%46.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fakel or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 188Bet
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away5.73 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fakel = 0.05 (league 1.38), Arsenal Tula = 1.14 (league 1.32)

Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 30.5% 34.7% 19.7% 7.5% 2.1% 0.5%
1 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.6% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 66.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1