Thu, Jan 8 2026 • 13:00 •
Hawassa Kenema Stadium
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 0.88)
0.12 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.2% | 18.6% | 2.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.7%
2 - 0
23.6%
0 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Arba Minch Kenema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sidama Bunna | 0 | 15.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.6% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Arba Minch Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 75% | 13% |
| Defense | 75% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Arba Minch Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 57% | 62% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 29% | 31% | 50% | 57% | 54% |
| Loses | 0% | 14% | 8% | 50% | 43% | 46% |
Form: Sidama Bunna: WWLWWDWWDDDWW • Arba Minch Kenema: DDLLDLDLDLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Arba Minch Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sidama Bunna | Arba Minch Kenema | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 46% | 38% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Arba Minch Kenema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Arba Minch Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Arba Minch Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Arba Minch Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sidama Bunna or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Superbet
Away4.80 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.80 @ Superbet
No1.45 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.34 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sidama Bunna
vs
Arba Minch Kenema
Expected goals
1.77
Sidama Bunna xG
League Avg: 0.88
Total
1.89
0.12
Arba Minch Kenema xG
League Avg: 0.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
78.2%
Draw
18.6%
Away
2.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
26.7%
Tip
2 - 0
23.6%
Tip
0 - 0
15.1%
More chances
1.5+
48%
Chance
2.5+
34%
Chance
3.5+
24%
Chance
BTTS
53%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sidama Bunna = 1.77 (league 0.88), Arba Minch Kenema = 0.12 (league 0.97)
| Arba Minch Kenema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sidama Bunna | 0 | 15.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.6% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.3% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 2.2%
vtt 5 , vtd1