Cup — Russia
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 13:00 • Gazovik Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.38) 5.00 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.4% 6.0% 50.9%
best score tips
1 - 5
6.0%
1 - 4
6.0%
1 - 3
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC Krasnodar
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 0.2% 0.8% 2.0% 3.3% 4.1% 4.1%
1 0.2% 1.1% 2.9% 4.8% 6.0% 6.0%
2 0.2% 0.8% 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 4.3%
3 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
Played55
Form60%100%
Attack47%93%
Defense20%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Orenburg FC Krasnodar
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%67%100%83%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%67%50%33%0%17%

Form: FC Orenburg: LWLWWL • FC Krasnodar: LWWWWW

League goals

Metric FC Orenburg FC Krasnodar
HATHAT
GF total61751015
GF avg2.00.31.21.73.32.5
GA total6814235
GA avg2.02.72.30.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%50%
1.533%50%67%33%
2.517%33%50%0%
3.50%33%33%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricFC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
Wins20
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-00-4
Biggest losses3-56-01-2—
Goals For3134
Goals Against5622

Model comparison

MetricFC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
Form38%63%
Att33%67%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%100%
Goals15%85%
Total25.6%74.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : FC Krasnodar and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.02 @ 1xBet
Draw5.09 @ 1xBet
Away1.49 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.42 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Orenburg = 1.45 (league 1.38), FC Krasnodar = 5.00 (league 1.32)

FC Krasnodar
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 0.2% 0.8% 2.0% 3.3% 4.1% 4.1%
1 0.2% 1.1% 2.9% 4.8% 6.0% 6.0%
2 0.2% 0.8% 2.1% 3.5% 4.3% 4.3%
3 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 6.0% · Away win 50.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1