Cup — Russia
Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 16:30 • Lukoil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.38) 1.97 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 21.1% 39.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 2
7.7%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.0% 7.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak MoscowLokomotiv
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack65%53%
Defense65%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Moscow Lokomotiv
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%100%67%67%67%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses67%0%33%33%33%33%

Form: Spartak Moscow: WLWLWW • Lokomotiv: LWWWLW

League goals

Metric Spartak Moscow Lokomotiv
HATHAT
GF total67134610
GF avg2.02.32.21.32.01.7
GA total426145
GA avg1.30.71.00.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak MoscowLokomotiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%83%67%
1.567%33%67%17%
2.533%0%17%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak MoscowLokomotiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricSpartak MoscowLokomotiv
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSpartak MoscowLokomotiv
Wins13
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-01-3
Biggest losses1-2—0-12-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricSpartak MoscowLokomotiv
Form43%57%
Att55%45%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.46 @ 1xBet
Away3.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.21 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Moscow = 1.89 (league 1.38), Lokomotiv = 1.97 (league 1.32)

Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.0% 7.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 39.5%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1